Analysts at Wood Mackenzie predict that聽wind and solar power projects will dominate the European market by the end of the decade due聽to cost reductions and increased renewables deployment following government auctions.
A combination of pump storage, interconnectors, gas peakers and energy storage will therefore be needed to provide the necessary flexibility to manage the power system as it transitions away from fossil-fuel power plants towards increased use of variable renewable energy (VRE), they suggested.
The top five wind markets in Europe 鈥 Germany, Spain, the UK, France and Italy 鈥 are estimated to have 160GW of operational wind power by the end of 2022, according聽to the latest forecast by 搖錢樹娛樂城 Intelligence, the research and intelligence arm of 搖錢樹娛樂城. This will be a聽16.3% increase from the 137.6GW that was operational at the end of 2019.
By the 2030s, 鈥渆nergy storage is expected to become the winning flexible asset due to plummeting technology costs and VRE鈥檚 dominance鈥, Wood Mackenzie added. It predicts Europe's total storage capacity will grow nearly 30-fold between 2020 and 2040 鈥 from 3GW to 89GW.
The analysts call on Europe鈥檚 policymakers to provide 鈥渢he right signals for a high Capex renewables buildout鈥, alongside incentives and revenues for flexible services.
Under existing plans, the EU is currently expected to fall short of its target of 32% of its energy demand being supplied from renewable sources by 2030, according to a new report by non-governmental organisations Climate Action Network Europe and Zero.聽